The Arizona Cardinals and Philadelphia Eagles both enter Sunday’s game in Philadelphia on hot streaks but the computer says the Cards will extend theirs while the Eagles will see theirs snapped.
Arizona is 4-0 straight up and 3-1 against the spread over its last four games while Philadelphia is coming out of its bye with a 3-0 straight up and against-the-spread record over its last three games. One of these winning streaks will come to an end on Sunday.
While sportsbooks such as Bodog are making Philadelphia a three-point favourite at home, the computers are predicting that it will be the Cardinals that come out on top of this intriguing matchup 23.9 to 22.6. If that Week 13 NFL trend holds up, the result would extend Arizona’s streak to 4-0 straight up and against the spread versus the Eagles.
If Philly’s recent string of covers (9-3 against the spread) in 12 seasons after a bye week holds up, it will be the Eagles keeping pace with Dallas atop the NFC East.
The Houston Texans’ nightmarish season continued last week with a 13-6 loss at home against Jacksonville as a 10.5-point favourite. Houston fell to 2-9 straight up and against the spread with the loss, which was its second in a row as a double-digit favourite at home.
New England enters Houston as a 7.5-point favourite, a spread that the Patriots are projected to cover by the computers with a final score of 26 to 13.6. The Patriots have never lost to Houston in five tries.
When the Denver Broncos met the Kansas City Chiefs in Denver two weeks ago, the Broncos came out on top 27-17. With the venue switching to Kansas City, the Chiefs are projected to cover the spread this time around in what could end up being the highest scoring game of the week.
Denver is picked to win 36.3 to 32.2, which would fail to cover the 5.5-point spread currently showing in the Broncos-Chiefs matchup details. The projected 68.5 points would go well over the current total of 48.5.
In an AFC South rivalry game between the Tennessee Titans and the Indianapolis Colts, the computers have it as too close to call. The projected score of 21.8 to 21.7 in Tennessee’s favour is a virtual tie, but such a close game would work to Tennessee’s advantage as a four-point underdog on the road this week.
The Titans are 5-0 against the spread in their past five road games, while the Colts have two straight at home.
On Thursday, the computer blew the Packers-Lions matchup, not properly accounting for Aaron Rodgers’ absence. Both other games were picked almost exactly. Dallas beat Oakland beat Oakland by seven (the computer predicted 24-17) and Baltimore beat the Steelers 22-20, whereas the computer predicted 21-19.
Odds Shark computer picks (current Week 13 NFL lines from Bodog and trends below)
Green Bay (25) at Detroit (24.1)
Oakland (17.6) at Dallas (23.9)
Pittsburgh (18.7) at Baltimore (20.8)
Jacksonville (4.3) at Cleveland (14.4)
Tennessee (21.8) at Indianapolis (21.7)
Chicago (25.2) at Minnesota (19)
Miami (18.6) at NY Jets (11.4)
Arizona (23.9) at Philadelphia (22.6)
Tampa Bay (14.5) at Carolina (27.5)
New England (26) at Houston (13.6)
Atlanta (15.1) at Buffalo (18.9)
St. Louis (21.5) at San Francisco (28.2)
Denver (36.3) at Kansas City (32.2)
Cincinnati (27) at San Diego (22)
NY Giants (17.1) at Washington (15.5)
New Orleans (29.9) at Seattle (31.4)
Week 13 Trends (more available at Odds Shark)
Tampa Bay 41.5 at Carolina -9
– Bucs 6-0 against the spread in past six as double-digit road underdogs
– Panthers are 6-1 against the spread in past seven divisional games
Jacksonville 40 at Cleveland -7.5
– Jaguars have covered three straight on the road
Tennessee 45 at Indianapolis -4
– Titans are 1-9 straight up, 3-7 against the spread in past 10 versus the Colts
– Colts are 7-1 against the spread in past eight versus AFC South foes
Chicago PK at Minnesota 49.5
– OVER is 10-2 in past 12 Bears road games
– OVER is 7-1 in past eight Vikings home games
Miami 40 at NY Jets -1
– Dolphins are 2-7 against the spread in past nine road games
– Jets are 4-1 against the spread in past five home games
Arizona 48.5 at Philadelphia -3
– Eagles are 9-3 against the spread in past 12 seasons following bye week
– Cardinals are 3-0 straight up and against the spread in past three versus Philly
New England -9 at Houston 47
– Pats have lost three straight road games (1-5-1 against the spread in past seven on the road)
– Houston rides a 0-6 against-the-spread home streak
Atlanta 46.5 at Buffalo -3
– Bills are 8-3-1 against the spread in past 12 seasons after a bye week
– Falcons 0-5 straight up and against the spread in past five as road dogs
St. Louis +9.5 at San Francisco 42
– Rams are 5-2 against the spread in past seven games versus the 49ers
– Rams have been shut out two of past four trips in San Francisco
Denver -5.5 at Kansas City 48.5
– Broncos have won nine consecutive divisional games straight up
– Chiefs are 1-8 straight, 2-7 against the spread in past nine divisional games
Cincinnati PK at San Diego 48
– Six of the past seven meetings played OVER the total
– Bengals are 1-6-1 against the spread in past eight road games
NY Giants at Washington
– Redskins 5-0 against the spread in past five games versus Giants
– Redskins 0-3 straight up, against the spread in divisional games in 2013
Monday Night Football Trends
New Orleans 45.5 at Seattle -4.5
– Saints are 6-1 against the spread in past seven MNF games
– Seattle is 5-1-1 against the spread in past MNF games (failed to cover versus the Rams earlier in 2013)
