NFL Week 4 Pick 'Em: Can Dalton, Panthers do it again?

Week 4 of the NFL season has arrived, and some revenge games are on the horizon, including Washington Commanders offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury going up against the Arizona Cardinals. 

Five teams — the Minnesota Vikings, Seattle Seahawks, Buffalo Bills, Kansas City Chiefs and Pittsburgh Steelers — are undefeated heading into Week 4. Can they keep those perfect records going?

Every week, I’ll pick each game against the spread with football lines courtesy of the BetMGM online sportsbook.

New Orleans Saints (+2) vs. Atlanta Falcons
Heading into Week 4, the Falcons allow 150.3 rushing yards (27th) per game and will host the Saints. The Saints were out-coached in Week 3, losing at home to the Philadelphia Eagles, but I expect to see a heavy dosage of Alvin Kamara.

The Saints still have an explosive offence, and Falcons left tackle Jake Matthews will have his hands full with Carl Granderson, who has 18 pressures and three sacks to start the year. 
PICK: SAINTS (+2)

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Carolina Panthers (+4.5)
The Panthers, who currently have the longest Super Bowl odds (+75000), looked unbelievable in Week 3 with QB Andy Dalton throwing for over 300 yards and three touchdowns. 

There are two notable players on the injury report: Bengals right tackle Trent Brown is out, and Panthers wide receiver Adam Thielen is doubtful to play. 

I think the Panthers will lean on their running game, which has looked OK this season. Running back Chuba Hubbard is averaging 5.2 yards per carry on 37 totes.

The Bengals have a secondary that can make plays, including two interceptions and two pass breakups, but they just allowed 38 points to the Commanders. I’ll lean with the road dog here because of their savvy veteran QB.
PICK: Panthers (+4.5)

Los Angeles Rams (+3) vs. Chicago Bears
The Rams are road underdogs to a Bears team that, yes, has been excellent defensively, but the offence cannot get anything going, and the offensive line has struggled, allowing 41 pressures. 

The Rams have quality pass rushers with Byron Young and Jared Verse off the edge, and I think the Rams cover in a game that might have a bit more scoring than the total (41) is letting on. 

The Rams manage 24 points per game despite injuries and if there was a time for the Bears offence to come alive, it’s here. The Rams defence allows 248.7 passing yards (29th) and 177 rushing yards (30th) per game. 
PICK: Rams (+3)

Minnesota Vikings (+2.5) vs. Green Bay Packers
The Vikings are 3-0 and home underdogs against a Packers team that we’re still not sure will have Jordan Love under center.

The Vikings lead the league in passing touchdowns per game at 2.7 with Sam Darnold at the helm. 

Vikings defensive coordinator Brian Flores has put on a clinic this year, especially in their wins over the Texans and 49ers. Yes, they’re on the road, but if Love doesn’t go, Flores is going to stop Packers backup QB Malik Willis in his tracks. The Vikings allow just 71.3 rushing yards (second) per game. 
PICK: Vikings (+2.5)

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans (-6.5)
While I’m tempted to give the 6.5 points to the Jaguars, there’s nothing I’ve seen on the field to warrant that. They scored just 13 against the Cleveland Browns in Week 2 and then 10 on MNF in Week 3. 

Yes, the Texans struggled last week, but they played an excellent Vikings defence. 

Back at home, the Texans play a Jaguars defence that allows 252.3 passing yards (30th) and 1.7 passing touchdowns (tied for fourth) per game.
PICK: Texans (-6.5) 

Pittsburgh Steelers (-2) vs. Indianapolis Colts
The Colts have a talented QB, but that hasn’t translated to the passing game. Anthony Richardson is completing less than 50 per cent of his passes, and he’ll take on a Steelers defence that’s allowed just 8.67 points per game. 

The Steelers are also averaging 1.33 interceptions per game, which bodes well against Richardson, who’s thrown two interceptions or more in two of three games this season. 

Despite the offensive line injuries, including a season-ending injury to rookie right tackle Troy Fautanu for the Steelers, this offence and defence are clicking right now and finding ways to win. QB Justin Fields is completing 73.3 per cent of his passes for 517 yards, two touchdowns, one interception, 90 rushing yards and a rushing touchdown. 
PICK: Steelers (-2)

Denver Broncos vs. New York Jets (-7)
For this game, I’m going solely with the revenge game narrative.  Yes, the Jets and Broncos played last year with Nathaniel Hackett as the Jets offensive coordinator against the team he was the head coach of for less than a year, but I’m looking at this from the perspective of Jets QB Aaron Rodgers. 

He hasn’t had a chance to stick up for Hackett against comments made by incumbent Broncos head coach Sean Payton last year. 

The Jets beat the Broncos last year, but Rodgers wasn’t part of the squad that did that due to a torn Achilles.  

The Jets defence will present difficulties for rookie Bo Nix. They allowed 158.3 passing yards (fifth) and gave up just 78 rushing yards in Week 3 to the New England Patriots. 

That’s a lot of points to lay, but I expect another double-digit win for the Jets. 
PICK: Jets (-7)

Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Buccaneers appear to be the Eagles kryptonite, winning five of their last six matchups, including the most recent in the postseason last year, but I think the Eagles right the ship here. 

The Eagles defence came out swinging in Week 3, holding the Saints to 12 points. The Buccaneers scored 37 in Week 1 against the Commanders, but they’ve scored just 27 points since. This offence averages just 91 rushing yards (27th) and 186 passing yards (23rd) per game. 

The Eagles are explosive enough, even if they’re missing DeVonta Smith and A.J. Brown, thanks to QB Jalen Hurts and RB Saquon Barkley. 
PICK: Eagles (-2.5)

Washington Commanders (+3.5) vs. Arizona Cardinals
I’m leaning with the underdog because both defences present opportunities for the other team to score.

The Cardinals are allowing 21.3 points compared to Washington’s 29.3. Both offences have QBS who can run, physical RBs, and a No. 1 receiver that stands out from the rest, with Marvin Harrison Jr. for the Cardinals and Terry McLaurin for the Commanders. 

Not to mention, this is a revenge game of sorts for Kingsbury, who is back on the sidelines against the Cardinals, whom he was the head coach of. 

Expect some high scoring here, with the Commanders keeping it close enough. 
PICK: Commanders (+3.5)

New England Patriots vs. San Francisco 49ers (-10)
Laying 10 points against a Patriots team with a good defence and suitable running game is tough, but if New England falls behind, the offence doesn’t have the playmakers to catch up.

The 49ers lost in Week 2, but it wasn’t the fault of Brock Purdy. He completed 73.33 per cent of his passes for 292 yards and three scores. 

I think the Patriots can somewhat limit the damage thanks to their defence, which has allowed just 19 points per game, but Nick Bosa is going to cause a lot of issues for this Patriots offensive line. 
PICK: 49ers (-10)

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers (+8)
The Chiefs offence has looked a bit up-and-down, with QB Patrick Mahomes passing for 217 yards or less in the last two games. Here, they’re on the road against a Chargers team that holds opposing offences to 91.7 rushing yards (sixth) and 175.3 passing yards (10th) per game.

Defensively, the Chiefs allow 247.3 passing yards per game, 28th in the league. 

Justin Herbert was a bit beat up after their Week 3 road game against the Steelers, but he should be back in the lineup. He’s found production out of wide receiver Quentin Johnston, who has three touchdowns over the last two games, Ladd McConkey, who averages close to six targets per game, and J.K. Dobbins out of the backfield, who’s third in the NFL in rushing yards with 310. 

The Chargers will likely lose this game, but their defence will help keep it close. 
PICK: Chargers (+8)

Cleveland Browns vs. Las Vegas Raiders (-1)
This is perhaps the worst game of the weekend, as neither the Raiders nor the Browns have looked great this season. Yes, the Raiders got a win on the road against the Baltimore Ravens, but they got blown out by the Panthers. However, the Browns haven’t shown much this season, averaging just 16.7 points per game. 

I’ll take the Raiders here, though. Browns QB Deshaun Watson has already been sacked 16 times and now has Maxx Crosby to deal with. The Raiders also have the better receiving options with Davante Adams and Brock Bowers. 
PICK: Raiders (-1)

Buffalo Bills (+2.5) vs. Baltimore Ravens
The Bills can win in multiple ways, including through the air, on the ground, and with their defence helping. The Ravens allow the most passing yards per game, over 290, and Allen is coming off a four-touchdown performance. 

The Ravens offensive line still gives me pause. They've given up 25 pressures thus far, and the fourth-quarter comebacks they’ve allowed to the Raiders and Cowboys despite notable leads are too much to ignore. 

I think the Bills win outright on the road and go to 4-0 on the season. 
PICK: Bills (+2.5)

Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins (+1.5)
We have no idea who the Dolphins will start on MNF. Tua Tagovailoa is out with a concussion, backup Skylar Thompson got hurt against the Seattle Seahawks, and now, it’s looking like Tyler Huntley could be called upon. 

I’ll lean on the home team. Huntley has experience starting and can run. Opposing QBs are averaging nearly 30 rushing yards against the Titans, and they allowed Packers QB Malik Willis to score last week. 

The Dolphins also have explosive options like De’Von Achane out of the backfield, along with Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle at receiver. I view Huntley as an upgrade from Thompson, and it’s impossible to trust Titans QB Will Levis due to his turnovers. 
PICK: Dolphins (+1.5)

Seattle Seahawks vs. Detroit Lions (-4)
The Lions' offence has looked scattered with QB Jared Goff completing 66 per cent of his passes for three touchdowns and four interceptions. 

The Seahawks defence has looked great this year, allowing a league-low 132.3 passing yards per game, but the opposing QBs they’ve played include Nix, Brissett and Thompson. 

Seahawks left tackle Charles Cross going up against Lions defensive Aidan Hutchinson will be a key matchup to keep an eye on.

The Lions have a more explosive offence with Goff throwing passes to Amon-Ra St. Brown, who caught his first touchdown of the season in Week 3, and fellow receiver Jameson Williams, who’s averaging 19 yards per reception. If the passing game does become an issue, they still have Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery to rely on in the backfield, who have combined for 439 rushing yards and four touchdowns. 

I’ll lean with the home team here. 
PICK: Lions (-4)

Richard Janvrin is a freelance content writer for BetMGM. His work is also published at sites like Forbes, WSN, Gambling.com, Legal Sports Report, and more. He has a bachelor's degree from the University of New Hampshire.