NFL Week 7 Pick 'Em: Lions look to hand Vikings their first loss

Week 7 of the NFL season has arrived, and once again, there’s massive New York Jets news. 

The Jets traded for Las Vegas Raiders wide receiver Davante Adams on Tuesday. They’re 2-4 now, but this move should positively influence their football odds of winning the Super Bowl over the long term. 

With that news and more, I’ll examine the latest NFL odds via the BetMGM online sportsbook and pick each game against the spread.

New England Patriots vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jaguars are in London for the second straight week, which gives them the upper hand. However, laying points with them is difficult, given their performance to this point in the season. Patriots rookie QB Drake Maye had three touchdown passes last week and led New England to the most points it has scored this year.

The Jaguars’ defence allows nearly 287 passing yards and more than two passing touchdowns per game.

PICK: Patriots +5.5 (-110)

Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings still have trailed for just over three minutes this season. They’re coming off a bye and will take on a Lions offence that’s put up 89 points over their last two games. Lions defensive end Aidan Hutchinson is out for the season with a broken tibia. I expect enough offence from each side to keep this divisional matchup close.

However, I’m not confident in who ultimately wins.

PICK: Lions +2.5 (-110)

Tennessee Titans vs. Buffalo Bills
Buffalo got a 23-20 win on Monday Night Football over the Jets, and the odds of the Bills winning the Super Bowl are now +1,000. The Titans are strong against the run, holding RBs to just 3.32 yards per carry. I worry that Titans QB Will Levis will continue to turn the ball over, but I expect the Titans’ defence to keep this within a touchdown.

PICK: Titans +8.5 (-110)

Miami Dolphins vs. Indianapolis Colts
The Colts will have Anthony Richardson back under centre, but he’ll face a Dolphins’ defence allowing fewer than one passing touchdown per game. They’ve allowed eight rushing touchdowns to opposing RBs, but it’s unclear if Jonathan Taylor will be back. The Dolphins’ offence has looked stagnant, but the Colts allow nearly 250 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns per game.

PICK: Dolphins +3.5 (-115)

Seattle Seahawks vs. Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons clobbered the Carolina Panthers 38-20 in Week 6. The Falcons have struggled to generate pressure all season, with a league-low five sacks. The Seahawks have a lot of injuries at key pass-rushing positions, including Uchenna Nwosu. The Seahawks had zero sacks in Week 6.

I trust the Falcons’ offence here: It's averaging over 33 points per game over its last three and has scored 100 points in that span.

PICK: Falcons -2.5 (-115)

Houston Texans vs. Green Bay Packers
The Packers are averaging 26.3 points per game at home. The Texans defence allows two passing touchdowns per game. The Packers have allowed less than 20 points in their last two games and have allowed fewer than 20 points in four of their six games this season.

PICK: Packers -2.5 (+100)

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns
The Browns covered against the Philadelphia Eagles thanks to a blocked field goal that was returned for a touchdown. Over their last three games, the Browns are 6-of-35 on third down. RB Nick Chubb could be back in his first game in over a year, but if he plays, I expect limited work from him.

There’s no way I’m betting on Cleveland.

PICK: Bengals -5 (-110)

Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Giants
The Giants’ offence looked putrid in Week 6 without RB Devin Singletary and WR Malik Nabers. Their health will be key for this game. The Eagles allow nearly 232 passing yards per game and 1.4 passing touchdowns. If Nabers and Singletary suit up, I’ll take them as 3.5-point dogs at home.

If they don’t play, I’d lean toward the Eagles.

PICK: Giants +3.5 (-115)

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Rams
The Raiders allow over five yards per carry to opposing RBs. Rams RB Kyren Williams has scored in every game this season. He’s averaging 4.7 yards per carry over his last two games. The Rams offence could also get WR Cooper Kupp back, but it hasn’t been confirmed yet.

I don’t trust the Raiders to exploit the Rams’ defensive deficiencies, such as allowing two passing touchdowns per game.

PICK: Rams -6 (-110)

Carolina Panthers vs. Washington Commanders
Death. Taxes. The Panthers allowing 30-plus points. The Panthers are averaging 18 points per game in their last three games while allowing 36. The Commanders offence was slowed in Week 6, but they scored 23 against a stout Baltimore Ravens run defence.

Expect the Commander offence to get back to their 30-plus point ways.

PICK: Commanders -7.5 (-110)

Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Francisco 49ers
The Chiefs are minus-4 in turnover differential and still 5-0. For context, the Panthers and Jaguars are also minus-4, and they have one win each. The Chiefs are coming out of their bye week. I expect to see some changes to this offence with the number of injuries they’ve had, including Rashee Rice and Isiah Pacheco.

I’m not betting against the Chiefs. They find ways to win, and I think they cover here.

PICK: Chiefs +1.5 (-115)

New York Jets vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
The Jets traded for Raiders WR Davante Adams on Tuesday. Adams joins an offence he’s familiar with, so I expect him to hit the ground running. Jets QB Aaron Rodgers threw for almost 300 yards Monday night. He had one interception, but it came on a play where WR Mike Williams slipped and ran the wrong route.

Expect the Jets offence to start cooking.

PICK: Jets -1.5 (-110)

Baltimore Ravens vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Ravens allow nearly 300 passing yards and two passing touchdowns per game. The Buccaneers' passing attack has been excellent. QB Baker Mayfield has thrown for 325-plus yards in two of his last three games and has nine touchdowns in that span.

Thanks to their passing attack, look for the Buccaneers to cover as a home dog.

PICK: Buccaneers +3.5 (-110)

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Arizona Cardinals
The Chargers' run defence averages just one rushing touchdown to opposing RBs. It's also not allowed a single receiver to reach 100 yards. The Cardinals give up nearly 125 rushing yards per game to opposing RBs, and they’ll need to contend with Chargers stud J.K. Dobbins. Dobbins is averaging 5.4 yards per carry.

Look for the Chargers defence and running game to carry them to a low-scoring win.

PICK: Chargers -3 (-105)